2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
The simulation results indicate Gavin Newsom as the leading outcome with 34% of the votes, suggesting a strong preference among agents for his candidacy in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election. Agents favored Newsom due to his experience as a governor, which aligns with the electorate's desire for stability and change beyond traditional Democratic candidates. His appeal was further bolstered by arguments emphasizing economic conditions and market predictability, as highlighted by Jessica Kim, an economist at a major investment bank. In contrast, the crowd pricing undervalued Newsom at 16%, significantly lower than the simulation's outcome, indicating a potential misalignment between market expectations and agent-based predictions. Other candidates like Jon Ossoff and J.D. Vance also showed notable support, reflecting the diverse ideological spectrum within the simulation.