
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
May 31, 2026
June 30, 2026
December 31, 2026The simulation results indicate that June 30, 2026, is the leading outcome with 46% of the votes, suggesting that MicroStrategy is most likely to sell any Bitcoin by this date. Agents favoring this outcome argue that mid-cycle market reviews and peak 'corporate Bitcoin fatigue' align with this timeframe, alongside historical patterns of executives liquidating during peak regulatory scrutiny. The crowd pricing for June 30, 2026, at 36.0%, is notably lower than the simulation's 46%, indicating that the market may be underestimating this scenario. The December 31, 2026, outcome, while priced at 70.0% by the market, only garnered 20.0% of the votes, highlighting a significant divergence between agent predictions and market expectations. The May 31, 2026, outcome, with 34.0% of the votes, suggests a non-trivial chance of an earlier sale, possibly due to unforeseen liquidity crunches or covenant breaches, though the market prices this at just 15.0%.