Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

The simulation overwhelmingly supports the outcome that Strait of Hormuz traffic will not return to normal by the end of April, with 94% of agents voting 'No'. This consensus is driven by the persistent geopolitical tensions, effective enforcement of the closure, and the significant rerouting of shipping traffic around the Cape of Good Hope, which has altered the baseline for 'normal' traffic volumes. The market crowd pricing aligns perfectly with this outcome, showing 100% confidence in the 'No' scenario, reflecting a broad consensus among participants that the current disruptions are unlikely to be resolved swiftly. The few 'Yes' votes were based on optimism about back-channel negotiations and diplomatic efforts, but these were overshadowed by the practical realities highlighted by the majority.