Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

The simulation overwhelmingly predicts that the Iranian regime will not fall by May 31, with 82% of agents favoring this outcome. This aligns with the market crowd pricing, which shows 100% confidence in the regime's survival. The agents' consensus is driven by the regime's historical resilience, effective suppression mechanisms, and the economic benefits derived from geopolitical instability, particularly in oil markets. While some agents highlighted the potential fragility due to protests and economic mismanagement, the majority emphasized the regime's ability to consolidate power and leverage external conflicts to maintain control.